Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | KC +120 STMN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +15 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -2.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -2.3 (-12.7) | 137.2 (-10.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -2.2 (-12.8) | 137.7 (-10.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -1.2 (-13.8) | 138.0 (-11.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -1.8 (-13.2) | 139.8 (-12.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | STMN 104 – 64 KC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | STMN 99 – 64 KC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | STMN 65 – 59 KC |
| Jan 26, 2025 | STMN 68 – 65 KC |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STMN 77 – 56 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#256) | 1.3 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#289) | -0.29 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#278) | 0.08 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#297) | 0.471 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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