Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -500 KC +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +6 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -10.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -8.7 (-2.7) | 141.4 (-17.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -9.3 (-3.3) | 143.7 (-19.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -9.2 (-3.2) | 144.1 (-20.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -9.6 (-3.6) | 144.4 (-20.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | STMN 104 – 64 KC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | STMN 99 – 64 KC |
| Jan 26, 2025 | STMN 68 – 65 KC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | STMN 71 – 56 KC |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STMN 77 – 56 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 14-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#116) | -4.2 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#124) | -1.40 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#129) | -1.46 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#104) | 0.441 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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