Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -333 KC +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +21 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -11.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -8.6 (+12.4) | 129.5 (+3.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -9.9 (+11.1) | 132.4 (+0.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -10.1 (+10.9) | 132.9 (+0.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -9.9 (+11.1) | 129.0 (+4.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | STMN 104 – 64 KC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | STMN 99 – 64 KC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | STMN 65 – 59 KC |
| Jan 26, 2025 | STMN 68 – 65 KC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | STMN 71 – 56 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#134) | -4.8 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#156) | -1.44 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#146) | -1.76 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#182) | 0.452 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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