Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -290 TENN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +2 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -8.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-39.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -8.3 (-6.3) | 136.1 (-32.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -9.1 (-7.1) | 136.1 (-32.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -7.9 (-5.9) | 136.4 (-32.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -8.1 (-6.1) | 139.6 (-35.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TENN 72 – 62 AUB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TENN 77 – 69 AUB |
| Mar 15, 2025 | TENN 70 – 65 AUB |
| Feb 29, 2024 | TENN 92 – 84 AUB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | AUB 79 – 70 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 27.1 (#1) | 21.6 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.23 (#1) | 4.19 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.51 (#1) | 5.55 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.715 (#1) | 0.665 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 39.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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