Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -245 AUB +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -4.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.9 (+5.1) | 145.4 (-11.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -5.4 (+4.6) | 145.0 (-11.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.3 (+5.7) | 146.0 (-12.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.6 (+5.4) | 146.7 (-12.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | TENN 77 – 69 AUB |
| Mar 15, 2025 | TENN 70 – 65 AUB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | AUB 53 – 51 TENN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | TENN 92 – 84 AUB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | AUB 79 – 70 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#17) | 14.3 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#27) | 2.02 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#21) | 2.86 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#39) | 0.578 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 42.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 45.3% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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