Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -300 AUB +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +8 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -3.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.5 (+3.5) | 150.7 (+25.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.2 (+2.8) | 150.9 (+25.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.4 (+3.6) | 149.3 (+26.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -5.3 (+2.7) | 151.1 (+24.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TENN 72 – 62 AUB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TENN 77 – 69 AUB |
| Mar 15, 2025 | TENN 70 – 65 AUB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | AUB 53 – 51 TENN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | AUB 79 – 70 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 83.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 19.3 (#7) | 19.5 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#4) | 2.56 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#5) | 3.28 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#5) | 0.619 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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