Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -250 AUB +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -5.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -3.7 (+4.3) | 153.9 (-7.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.9 (+2.1) | 151.6 (-5.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -5.0 (+3.0) | 151.8 (-5.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.9 (+3.1) | 152.3 (-6.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TENN 72 – 62 AUB |
| Mar 15, 2025 | TENN 70 – 65 AUB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | AUB 53 – 51 TENN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | TENN 92 – 84 AUB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | AUB 79 – 70 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#20) | 15.9 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#24) | 2.74 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#24) | 3.92 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#35) | 0.628 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 44.8% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.