Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -220 TENN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -4.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -2.5 (-7.5) | 139.9 (-4.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -2.6 (-7.6) | 140.9 (-5.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -3.1 (-8.1) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -3.1 (-8.1) | 138.4 (-3.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TENN 72 – 62 AUB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TENN 77 – 69 AUB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | AUB 53 – 51 TENN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | TENN 92 – 84 AUB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | AUB 79 – 70 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 26.4 (#2) | 21.6 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.85 (#1) | 4.16 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.90 (#1) | 5.32 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.687 (#1) | 0.645 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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