Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -250 CIN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +28 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -4.2 (+23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -4.3 (+23.7) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -5.1 (+22.9) | 134.9 (-2.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -4.7 (+23.3) | 135.6 (-3.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -4.1 (+23.9) | 134.0 (-2.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CIN 90 – 68 BYU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CIN 84 – 66 BYU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | CIN 71 – 60 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#37) | 12.8 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#73) | 1.42 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#68) | 1.94 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#108) | 0.542 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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