Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | BYU -480 CIN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -15.4 (-26.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -11.3 (-22.3) | 150.4 (-19.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -12.5 (-23.5) | 151.0 (-20.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -12.9 (-23.9) | 149.6 (-18.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -11.8 (-22.8) | 152.0 (-21.0) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CIN 90 – 68 BYU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CIN 84 – 66 BYU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | BYU 80 – 52 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 16-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 23.8 (#3) | 12.6 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#8) | 1.73 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.43 (#6) | 2.35 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#27) | 0.581 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 44.4 | 43.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 15.1 |
| AST / TO | 2.31 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 39.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 80.2% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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