Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -125 BYU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +18 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -0.4 (+18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -1.0 (+17.0) | 140.8 (+9.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -0.8 (+17.2) | 140.6 (+9.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -0.3 (+17.7) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -1.7 (+16.3) | 140.5 (+9.5) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CIN 90 – 68 BYU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | BYU 80 – 52 CIN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | CIN 71 – 60 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#52) | 14.9 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#70) | 1.80 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#68) | 2.41 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#98) | 0.554 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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