Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +900 GCU -1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -10.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -10.2 (-2.8) | 146.8 (-1.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -9.9 (-3.1) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -10.6 (-2.4) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -10.6 (-2.4) | 149.7 (-4.7) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | GCU 90 – 68 UTU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | GCU 73 – 61 UTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | GCU 75 – 65 UTU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GCU 71 – 61 UTU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | GCU 89 – 85 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 13-3 |
| Home | 5-8 | 16-1 |
| Away | 0-16 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#296) | 6.0 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#293) | 1.04 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#286) | 1.06 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#309) | 0.540 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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