Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -1000 UTU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +4 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -10.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+35.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -11.9 (-7.9) | 138.8 (+35.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -9.8 (-5.8) | 140.3 (+33.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -10.7 (-6.7) | 139.0 (+35.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -10.3 (-6.3) | 137.5 (+36.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | GCU 90 – 68 UTU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GCU 79 – 66 UTU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | GCU 73 – 61 UTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | GCU 75 – 65 UTU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GCU 71 – 61 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#92) | -1.4 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#112) | -0.32 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#111) | -0.46 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#120) | 0.485 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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