Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -2500 UTU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +22 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -16.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -17.4 (+4.6) | 147.4 (+10.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -13.8 (+8.2) | 146.8 (+11.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -14.3 (+7.7) | 145.5 (+12.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -13.9 (+8.1) | 147.5 (+10.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2025 | GCU 79 – 66 UTU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | GCU 73 – 61 UTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | GCU 75 – 65 UTU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GCU 71 – 61 UTU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | GCU 89 – 85 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 2-14 |
| Home | 16-1 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-4 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#96) | -8.4 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#84) | -2.15 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#97) | -2.27 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#89) | 0.400 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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