Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -8000 UTU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -20.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -17.3 (-5.3) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -16.6 (-4.6) | 147.2 (-13.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -18.0 (-6.0) | 147.3 (-13.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -18.9 (-6.9) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | GCU 90 – 68 UTU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GCU 79 – 66 UTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | GCU 75 – 65 UTU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GCU 71 – 61 UTU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | GCU 89 – 85 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-13 |
| Home | 16-0 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#53) | -6.8 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#10) | -0.67 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#17) | -0.86 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#23) | 0.465 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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