Betting Lines
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | UTU -125 GCU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -1.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -0.3 (-9.7) | 145.7 (-13.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -1.3 (-11.3) | 148.7 (-16.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -1.1 (-11.1) | 150.0 (-18.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -0.5 (-10.5) | 147.7 (-15.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | GCU 90 – 68 UTU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GCU 79 – 66 UTU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | GCU 73 – 61 UTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | GCU 75 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | GCU 89 – 85 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#154) | 3.0 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#201) | 0.58 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#183) | 0.72 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#234) | 0.527 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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