Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -1800 CHST +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -18.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -12.8 (+4.2) | 133.1 (+11.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -14.0 (+3.0) | 129.3 (+15.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -15.7 (+1.3) | 126.8 (+18.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -14.6 (+2.4) | 132.1 (+12.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CHST 70 – 51 CCSU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CCSU 78 – 67 CHST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CCSU 81 – 75 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-7 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-7 |
| Away | 12-3 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#185) | -16.8 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#164) | -2.68 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#175) | -3.20 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#158) | 0.404 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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