Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CHST +550 CCSU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -13.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -10.7 (+4.7) | 139.0 (+17.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -12.2 (+6.2) | 135.1 (+20.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -11.8 (+5.8) | 137.2 (+18.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -12.1 (+6.1) | 135.9 (+20.1) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CHST 70 – 51 CCSU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CCSU 78 – 67 CHST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CCSU 81 – 64 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 14-2 |
| Home | 3-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-19 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#360) | -0.7 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#347) | 0.31 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#345) | 0.16 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#325) | 0.528 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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