Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -320 UAB +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +23 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -12.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -9.9 (+13.1) | 156.5 (+20.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -11.8 (+11.2) | 157.2 (+19.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -11.5 (+11.5) | 157.1 (+19.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -10.3 (+12.7) | 157.0 (+20.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UAB 78 – 67 MEM |
| Feb 6, 2026 | MEM 90 – 80 UAB |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MEM 84 – 72 UAB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MEM 88 – 81 UAB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MEM 106 – 87 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 11-2 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#47) | 3.2 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#12) | 0.02 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.89 (#19) | 0.11 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.677 (#3) | 0.496 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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