Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -110 MEM -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +7 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -4.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -2.9 (-4.1) | 162.5 (+6.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -3.7 (-3.3) | 159.2 (+9.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -2.7 (-4.3) | 160.4 (+8.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -3.5 (-3.5) | 161.2 (+7.8) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UAB 78 – 67 MEM |
| Feb 6, 2026 | MEM 90 – 80 UAB |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MEM 84 – 72 UAB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | MEM 100 – 77 UAB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MEM 106 – 87 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 16-2 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#107) | 11.8 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#118) | 3.03 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#117) | 3.51 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#106) | 0.653 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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