Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -4000 LSU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -14.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -13.7 (-6.7) | 161.9 (-8.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -13.3 (-6.3) | 163.0 (-10.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -12.2 (-5.2) | 159.9 (-6.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -12.3 (-5.3) | 159.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ALA 90 – 83 LSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ALA 109 – 92 LSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ALA 109 – 88 LSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | ALA 79 – 69 LSU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ALA 106 – 66 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 90.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 21.6 (#7) | 10.2 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#5) | 1.84 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.04 (#5) | 2.28 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.700 (#2) | 0.542 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 44.8 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.