Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | STO -600 CHST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +2 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | STO -13.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -8.2 (-6.2) | 134.4 (+13.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -10.1 (-8.1) | 131.6 (+16.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -10.4 (-8.4) | 130.9 (+17.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -9.1 (-7.1) | 132.7 (+15.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CHST 68 – 55 STO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | STO 85 – 82 CHST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | STO 68 – 52 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 4-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 3-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#284) | -17.2 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#254) | -2.62 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#246) | -3.15 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#279) | 0.406 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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