Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +135 STO -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | STO -4.9 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -3.7 (-12.3) | 136.1 (-16.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -4.7 (-11.3) | 132.9 (-12.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -4.7 (-11.3) | 133.9 (-13.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -4.9 (-11.1) | 135.9 (-15.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CHST 68 – 55 STO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | STO 85 – 82 CHST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | STO 75 – 73 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 3-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-19 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#358) | -7.9 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#336) | -1.01 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#336) | -1.28 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#306) | 0.440 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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