Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CARK +750 LIP -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +13 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -16.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -14.6 (+1.6) | 142.0 (-19.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -13.6 (+0.6) | 141.4 (-18.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -14.4 (+1.4) | 140.0 (-17.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -15.0 (+2.0) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | CARK 86 – 78 LIP |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LIP 84 – 66 CARK |
| Feb 27, 2025 | LIP 78 – 60 CARK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LIP 85 – 68 CARK |
| Jan 19, 2024 | CARK 96 – 86 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-7 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-16 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#334) | 7.7 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#356) | 0.62 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.69 (#353) | 1.18 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#360) | 0.527 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 13.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.