Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -6000 CARK +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -22.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -20.7 (-2.7) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -18.2 (-0.2) | 147.1 (-9.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -19.1 (-1.1) | 146.0 (-8.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -20.1 (-2.1) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | CARK 86 – 78 LIP |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LIP 84 – 66 CARK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LIP 68 – 55 CARK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LIP 85 – 68 CARK |
| Jan 19, 2024 | CARK 96 – 86 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-6 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#86) | -13.0 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#123) | -2.38 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#104) | -2.94 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#103) | 0.389 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.