Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–19 on winners spread MAE 8.3 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wichita State @ Memphis +13.7 153.7 88% 53–61 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire -12.3 145.8 14% 95–76 ✓
NJIT @ Vermont +9.5 127.3 86% 64–68 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia State -3.5 144.3 35% 92–79 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +3.0 145.9 61% 85–83 ✗
Campbell @ Stony Brook -2.9 133.7 36% 79–54 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Towson +9.8 141.8 81% 67–83 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +2.5 141.0 59% 68–93 ✓
Drexel @ Northeastern +2.1 132.6 60% 61–70 ✓
Monmouth @ Elon +10.8 136.8 85% 71–83 ✓
North Florida @ Queens University +5.8 159.7 76% 90–81 ✗
Lipscomb @ North Alabama -1.8 144.6 38% 64–74 ✗
Jacksonville @ West Georgia -8.6 138.9 20% 79–62 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +10.3 154.1 81% 67–66 ✗
Samford @ Chattanooga +0.4 157.8 51% 73–69 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Siena +3.4 139.9 64% 68–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Peter's -0.7 123.0 38% 48–37 ✓
Iona @ Rider +0.3 133.5 45% 73–67 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Canisius -3.3 148.4 36% 93–84 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan +6.1 147.8 71% 87–84 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +3.1 142.4 67% 67–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas -0.9 138.2 47% 73–71 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston -3.2 150.9 34% 77–75 ✓
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian +3.6 125.6 62% 56–67 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Arlington -0.7 143.6 46% 56–65 ✗
South Dakota @ North Dakota +0.3 169.4 56% 102–93 ✗
South Dakota State @ Kansas City -3.7 143.5 32% 65–64 ✓
Denver @ Oral Roberts +2.9 150.6 62% 70–68 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Omaha -1.3 153.7 45% 78–89 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah -9.7 148.2 22% 74–59 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +1.5 145.6 59% 77–89 ✓
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville +6.6 134.9 74% 76–82 ✓
Little Rock @ Western Illinois -4.5 133.2 31% 62–51 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Lindenwood -2.4 137.4 38% 68–72 ✗
Maryland @ Illinois +7.9 154.6 77% 91–70 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -3.4 154.5 38% 76–77 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington +1.9 141.1 55% 70–61 ✗
App State @ Arkansas State +6.1 132.8 70% 55–65 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis +0.1 134.3 49% 66–68 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +8.5 136.8 79% 51–71 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -2.7 130.0 33% 73–66 ✓
Kennesaw State @ New Mexico State +6.1 143.2 75% 69–56 ✗
Jacksonville State @ UTEP +3.5 140.5 67% 73–66 ✗
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +15.5 145.9 89% 63–83 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State -7.0 132.0 28% 71–75 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State +5.3 139.4 69% 56–74 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +11.7 138.8 87% 63–77 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton -3.1 143.9 36% 71–68 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside -6.9 141.7 29% 80–84 ✗
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge +13.9 148.0 88% 76–86 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +0.6 146.3 60% 82–92 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific -6.2 141.3 31% 73–68 ✓
Washington State @ Santa Clara +5.4 156.1 73% 65–93 ✓
Utah Valley @ California Baptist -0.2 138.2 42% 74–69 ✓
Toledo @ Bowling Green -1.3 154.8 48% 84–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.