They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Vermont Catamounts
68 – 64
FINAL Conference
NJIT Highlanders
America East Conference · Patrick Gymnasium · January 24, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UVM -15.5 Away covered
O/U 123.5 Over
Money UVM -3000 / NJIT +1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVM win
Actual UVM +4 132 Won
Massey UVM -12.7 (-8.7) — —
Massey Totals — 113.4 (+18.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UVM -8.4 (-4.4) 127.7 (+4.3) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVM -12.5 (-8.5) 130.9 (+1.1) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UVM -9.6 (-5.6) 127.0 (+5.0) 86% ✓
Baseline ML UVM -9.5 (-5.5) 127.3 (+4.7) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 UVM 63 – 54 NJIT
Feb 22, 2026 UVM 70 – 64 NJIT
Jan 31, 2026 NJIT 79 – 77 UVM
Feb 28, 2025 UVM 71 – 61 NJIT
Feb 9, 2024 NJIT 63 – 61 UVM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVM NJIT
Overall 21-12 6-25
Conference 13-3 3-13
Home 13-3 4-9
Away 7-8 1-16
Neutral 1-1 1-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 64.5 63.9
Avg Pts Against 65.0 73.9
Massey -6.0 (#263) -15.2 (#355)
Bradley-Terry -0.42 (#217) -2.80 (#349)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.62 (#216) -3.48 (#346)
RPI 0.494 (#188) 0.355 (#359)
Shooting & Four Factors UVM NJIT
FG% 40.1% 38.6%
3PT% 30.7% 28.6%
REB / G 31.8 33.4
OREB / G 8.3 9.6
AST / TO 0.90 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 43.8%
TOV% 18.3% 19.6%
ORB% 24.4% 27.1%
FT Rate 21.9% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 14.1%
DRB% 70.8% 66.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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