Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT +230 UVM -285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -4.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -1.8 (-4.2) | 139.4 (-5.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -3.1 (-2.9) | 142.4 (-8.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -2.4 (-3.6) | 142.3 (-8.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -2.1 (-3.9) | 141.7 (-7.7) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NJIT 63 – 61 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 12-4 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#323) | -3.9 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#265) | -0.74 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#280) | -0.84 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#215) | 0.494 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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