Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT +900 UVM -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -12.4 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -11.4 (+13.4) | 131.6 (-7.6) | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -12.3 (+14.3) | 133.5 (-9.5) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -11.8 (+13.8) | 131.3 (-7.3) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -10.9 (+12.9) | 133.1 (-9.1) | 15% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 15-1 |
| Home | 5-8 | 16-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#333) | 4.3 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#334) | 1.37 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#335) | 1.60 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#316) | 0.569 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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