Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -1450 NJIT +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -12.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -10.1 (-12.1) | 136.8 (+19.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -10.7 (-12.7) | 138.6 (+17.4) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -11.0 (-13.0) | 137.9 (+18.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -10.4 (-12.4) | 137.8 (+18.2) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NJIT 63 – 61 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#207) | -12.6 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#196) | -1.39 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#196) | -1.88 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#191) | 0.444 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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