What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
NJIT Highlanders
61 – 71
FINAL Conference
Vermont Catamounts
America East Conference · Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center · February 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UVM -8.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money NJIT +320 / UVM -425
Model Predictions
Spread Total NJIT win
Actual UVM +10 132 Lost
Massey UVM -5.7 (-4.3) — —
Massey Totals — 120.3 (+11.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 12% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 11% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UVM -5.7 (-4.3) 130.0 (+2.0) 18% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVM -8.3 (-1.7) 130.0 (+2.0) 17% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UVM -7.4 (-2.6) 126.6 (+5.4) 21% ✓
Baseline ML UVM -6.4 (-3.6) 129.7 (+2.3) 18% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 UVM 63 – 54 NJIT
Feb 22, 2026 UVM 70 – 64 NJIT
Jan 31, 2026 NJIT 79 – 77 UVM
Jan 24, 2025 UVM 68 – 64 NJIT
Feb 9, 2024 NJIT 63 – 61 UVM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NJIT UVM
Overall 6-25 21-12
Conference 3-13 13-3
Home 4-9 13-3
Away 1-16 7-8
Neutral 1-0 1-1
Last 5 0-5 5-0
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.9 64.5
Avg Pts Against 73.9 65.0
Massey -14.0 (#351) -5.1 (#245)
Bradley-Terry -2.83 (#356) -0.28 (#199)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.19 (#353) -0.43 (#199)
RPI 0.360 (#361) 0.517 (#152)
Shooting & Four Factors NJIT UVM
FG% 39.5% 41.3%
3PT% 30.7% 32.3%
REB / G 34.7 33.0
OREB / G 10.1 8.8
AST / TO 0.81 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.2% 48.3%
TOV% 18.1% 17.0%
ORB% 27.7% 26.0%
FT Rate 19.9% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 13.4% 16.8%
DRB% 68.4% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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