Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | NJIT +320 UVM -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -5.7 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -8.3 (-1.7) | 130.0 (+2.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -7.4 (-2.6) | 126.6 (+5.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -6.4 (-3.6) | 129.7 (+2.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.7 (-4.3) | 130.0 (+2.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NJIT 63 – 61 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 13-3 |
| Home | 4-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-16 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 65.0 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#351) | -5.1 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#356) | -0.28 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#353) | -0.43 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#361) | 0.517 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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