Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–14 on winners spread MAE 7.9 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida @ South Carolina -10.6 141.4 18% 70–69 ✓
Kansas @ TCU -5.9 130.3 23% 74–61 ✓
Xavier @ St. John's +7.6 141.2 78% 71–79 ✓
Longwood @ Radford +2.8 143.6 65% 77–74 ✗
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -12.5 159.5 15% 86–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +0.6 158.4 53% 61–53 ✗
South Florida @ Charlotte -0.5 141.0 49% 61–69 ✗
Syracuse @ Clemson +12.4 145.4 87% 72–86 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech +4.1 141.9 67% 64–71 ✓
George Washington @ Massachusetts -1.6 153.3 42% 61–74 ✗
Murray State @ Southern Illinois +0.1 141.0 49% 74–64 ✗
Boston University @ Navy +1.4 129.8 62% 47–62 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +2.5 140.0 59% 80–59 ✗
Lehigh @ American University +6.2 134.7 74% 67–68 ✓
Indiana @ Northwestern +3.8 142.0 70% 70–79 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion -5.1 136.6 27% 74–60 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +11.5 138.4 87% 50–65 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +0.3 145.0 48% 72–76 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay -0.5 143.7 43% 86–77 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +0.6 149.1 51% 95–79 ✗
Mercer @ UNC Greensboro +10.6 142.6 84% 79–78 ✗
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +15.2 140.1 89% 58–85 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +15.5 135.4 89% 68–79 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +3.0 144.2 63% 61–71 ✓
Valparaiso @ Drake +12.9 130.5 85% 71–81 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State +1.2 144.3 60% 72–75 ✓
Temple @ North Texas +8.7 137.3 72% 67–76 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Louis +6.3 145.3 77% 52–64 ✓
Fordham @ Loyola Chicago +6.6 150.2 80% 66–70 ✓
UIC @ Evansville -5.5 139.3 30% 78–67 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +4.4 140.4 70% 63–62 ✗
Kansas State @ Baylor +12.7 143.8 87% 62–70 ✓
Florida State @ California -2.2 147.8 42% 68–77 ✗
Nevada @ Utah State +5.9 145.0 75% 69–90 ✓
USC @ Nebraska +5.9 145.4 74% 78–73 ✗
Georgia @ Arkansas -0.5 133.7 48% 65–68 ✗
San Diego State @ Air Force -14.2 125.6 13% 77–76 ✓
Miami @ Stanford +12.6 154.2 86% 51–88 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +3.2 144.6 66% 58–85 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana -6.9 145.6 26% 89–74 ✓
Hampton @ William & Mary +4.8 144.0 65% 83–94 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +0.7 143.4 50% 86–85 ✗
UMBC @ UAlbany +3.1 155.3 64% 92–87 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine -12.1 142.5 15% 77–61 ✓
Marist @ Niagara -1.4 130.3 37% 67–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.