Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -500 TEM +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -9.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -9.8 (-0.8) | 134.4 (+8.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -8.8 (+0.2) | 136.8 (+6.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -8.7 (+0.3) | 137.3 (+5.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -8.4 (+0.6) | 133.0 (+10.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNT 65 – 62 TEM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TEM 66 – 61 UNT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNT 69 – 51 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#70) | 2.8 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#55) | 0.78 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#63) | 0.89 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#34) | 0.555 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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