Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -148 UNT +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +3 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -2.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -1.0 (-4.0) | 137.6 (-10.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -2.5 (-5.5) | 135.7 (-8.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -1.8 (-4.8) | 136.5 (-9.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.7 (-4.7) | 138.8 (-11.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | TEM 66 – 61 UNT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNT 76 – 67 TEM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNT 69 – 51 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#162) | 1.0 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#152) | 0.08 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#162) | 0.14 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#174) | 0.499 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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