Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | TEM +220 UNT -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -4.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -4.8 (+9.8) | 135.5 (-8.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.6 (+9.6) | 135.7 (-8.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -4.5 (+9.5) | 137.0 (-10.0) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -5.1 (+10.1) | 135.6 (-8.6) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNT 65 – 62 TEM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNT 76 – 67 TEM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNT 69 – 51 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 60.6 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#163) | 7.8 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#169) | 1.78 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#169) | 2.10 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#178) | 0.593 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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