Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -700 TEM +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +18 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -14.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -13.0 (+5.0) | 127.1 (-7.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -11.7 (+6.3) | 130.8 (-10.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -12.7 (+5.3) | 130.5 (-10.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -12.8 (+5.2) | 130.6 (-10.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNT 65 – 62 TEM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TEM 66 – 61 UNT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNT 76 – 67 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#65) | -2.8 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#117) | -0.16 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#83) | -0.61 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.505 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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