Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | PRES -150 CHSO +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -4.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -2.4 (+7.6) | 142.5 (-10.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -3.1 (+6.9) | 143.2 (-11.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -3.0 (+7.0) | 144.2 (-12.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -3.7 (+6.3) | 144.1 (-12.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CHSO 84 – 67 PRES |
| Jan 22, 2026 | PRES 87 – 83 CHSO |
| Feb 13, 2025 | CHSO 71 – 70 PRES |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRES 72 – 65 CHSO |
| Jan 4, 2024 | PRES 68 – 61 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#260) | -7.1 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#298) | -1.32 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#289) | -1.64 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#315) | 0.441 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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