Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO -122 PRES +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +17 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CHSO -5.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -3.0 (+14.0) | 144.3 (+6.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -3.7 (+13.3) | 146.5 (+4.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -3.7 (+13.3) | 144.8 (+6.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -3.8 (+13.2) | 146.9 (+4.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | PRES 87 – 83 CHSO |
| Feb 13, 2025 | CHSO 71 – 70 PRES |
| Jan 23, 2025 | PRES 71 – 61 CHSO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRES 72 – 65 CHSO |
| Jan 4, 2024 | PRES 68 – 61 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#236) | -7.0 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#298) | -1.21 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#292) | -1.87 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#301) | 0.455 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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