Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO -115 PRES -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | CHSO -1.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -0.6 (+0.4) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -1.3 (-0.3) | 141.6 (-0.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -0.8 (+0.2) | 142.6 (-1.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -0.4 (+0.6) | 143.6 (-2.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CHSO 84 – 67 PRES |
| Jan 22, 2026 | PRES 87 – 83 CHSO |
| Jan 23, 2025 | PRES 71 – 61 CHSO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRES 72 – 65 CHSO |
| Jan 4, 2024 | PRES 68 – 61 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#282) | -6.0 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#265) | -1.23 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#272) | -1.42 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#268) | 0.424 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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