Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | NU -210 IU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | NU -4.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -4.8 (+4.2) | 144.0 (+5.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -5.2 (+3.8) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -4.3 (+4.7) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -3.8 (+5.2) | 142.0 (+7.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NU 74 – 61 IU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | NU 72 – 68 IU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 IU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | NU 64 – 62 IU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | NU 84 – 83 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#54) | 9.6 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#69) | 2.20 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#59) | 2.59 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#69) | 0.606 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.