Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NU +105 IU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | NU -0.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -1.5 (+0.5) | 133.9 (-7.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -1.4 (+0.6) | 132.9 (-6.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -0.9 (+1.1) | 133.1 (-7.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -1.1 (+0.9) | 134.2 (-8.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NU 74 – 61 IU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | NU 72 – 68 IU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | NU 79 – 70 IU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 IU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | NU 84 – 83 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#45) | 13.8 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#33) | 2.41 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#44) | 2.93 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#55) | 0.600 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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