Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | IU -278 NU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +13 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -5.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -4.5 (-17.5) | 139.7 (-4.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -3.8 (-16.8) | 139.5 (-4.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -4.3 (-17.3) | 137.6 (-2.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -3.8 (-16.8) | 137.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NU 72 – 68 IU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | NU 79 – 70 IU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 IU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | NU 64 – 62 IU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | NU 84 – 83 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#37) | 9.3 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#50) | 1.05 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#56) | 1.39 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#79) | 0.519 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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