Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | IU -275 NU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +1 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -7.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+37.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -5.6 (-6.6) | 138.9 (+28.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -6.4 (-7.4) | 135.7 (+31.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -5.4 (-6.4) | 135.1 (+31.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -5.3 (-6.3) | 135.3 (+31.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NU 74 – 61 IU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | NU 72 – 68 IU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | NU 79 – 70 IU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 IU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | NU 64 – 62 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#17) | 9.5 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#33) | 1.68 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#37) | 2.10 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#64) | 0.576 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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