Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -155 TA&M +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +1 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -3.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -5.2 (-6.2) | 141.3 (-16.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -3.8 (-4.8) | 139.4 (-14.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -4.9 (-5.9) | 139.2 (-14.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -4.4 (-5.4) | 140.4 (-15.4) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | TA&M 80 – 77 MISS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TA&M 80 – 71 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TA&M 86 – 60 MISS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MISS 71 – 68 TA&M |
| Mar 1, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#19) | 16.4 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#6) | 3.33 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.11 (#6) | 4.12 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#12) | 0.646 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 16.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 42.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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