Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MISS +170 TA&M -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -4.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -4.9 (-3.1) | 134.3 (-4.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.7 (-4.3) | 136.4 (-6.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -3.6 (-4.4) | 137.0 (-7.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -3.5 (-4.5) | 136.3 (-6.3) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | TA&M 80 – 77 MISS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TA&M 63 – 62 MISS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TA&M 80 – 71 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TA&M 86 – 60 MISS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MISS 71 – 68 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-10 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#112) | 11.5 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#152) | 2.07 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#127) | 2.40 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#170) | 0.580 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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