Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -550 MISS +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -11.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -12.1 (-9.1) | 155.0 (+2.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -11.8 (-8.8) | 154.6 (+2.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -11.1 (-8.1) | 152.0 (+5.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -10.7 (-7.7) | 152.5 (+4.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2025 | TA&M 63 – 62 MISS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TA&M 80 – 71 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TA&M 86 – 60 MISS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MISS 71 – 68 TA&M |
| Mar 1, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#33) | 7.1 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#44) | 0.95 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#42) | 1.21 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#68) | 0.520 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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