Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -115 TA&M -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +26 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -1.1 (-27.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -0.2 (-26.2) | 140.3 (+5.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -2.3 (-28.3) | 140.8 (+5.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -2.0 (-28.0) | 141.7 (+4.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -1.1 (-27.1) | 143.3 (+2.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | TA&M 80 – 77 MISS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TA&M 63 – 62 MISS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TA&M 80 – 71 MISS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MISS 71 – 68 TA&M |
| Mar 1, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#80) | 9.3 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#46) | 1.62 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#48) | 2.23 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#58) | 0.557 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 17.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 41.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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