Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -400 MISS +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -6.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -6.3 (-9.3) | 141.1 (-2.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -4.3 (-7.3) | 141.6 (-2.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -4.4 (-7.4) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -4.7 (-7.7) | 142.1 (-3.1) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | TA&M 80 – 77 MISS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TA&M 63 – 62 MISS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TA&M 80 – 71 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TA&M 86 – 60 MISS |
| Mar 1, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#46) | 7.6 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#53) | 2.64 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#47) | 3.02 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#65) | 0.628 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 18.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 43.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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