Betting Lines
| Spread | ARK -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ARK -115 UGA -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARK +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ARK -1.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARK -1.6 (+1.4) | 137.9 (-4.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -0.2 (+3.2) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARK -0.5 (+2.5) | 136.0 (-3.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -0.5 (+3.5) | 133.7 (-0.7) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UGA 90 – 76 ARK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ARK 78 – 75 UGA |
| Jan 11, 2024 | UGA 76 – 66 ARK |
| Feb 22, 2023 | ARK 97 – 65 UGA |
| Feb 3, 2022 | ARK 99 – 73 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARK | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#43) | 14.9 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#66) | 3.08 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#64) | 4.19 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#100) | 0.608 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARK | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.