Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | TCU +200 KU -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +13 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -6.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.1 (-7.9) | 131.1 (+3.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.1 (-8.9) | 130.4 (+4.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.4 (-6.6) | 130.1 (+4.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -5.9 (-7.1) | 130.3 (+4.7) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU 83 – 81 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2023 | KU 63 – 58 TCU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TCU 83 – 60 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#63) | 19.7 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#75) | 3.25 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#86) | 4.29 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#76) | 0.667 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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